Showing posts with label Canada. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Canada. Show all posts





Ukraine Crisis and the Arctic: Penalties or Reconciliation?
By Andreas Østhagen, April 30, 2014



Canada’s recent decision to boycott an Arctic Council task force meeting held in Moscow is a direct example of how the Ukraine conflict is starting to impact Arctic cooperation. Given its prominent position in the Arctic, however, Russia is integral to most schemes for the region’s future development. As vocalized by both former US Secretary of State, Clinton, and the current Prime Minister of Iceland, Gunnlaugsson, the Ukraine crisis might have a severe and unintended impact on Arctic cooperation [1].

ukraine3-018.jpg

The impact of the events in Ukraine for Arctic cooperation will be neither straight forward nor harmonized across the region. Instead it will vary according to the interests of the different Arctic states. They could decide to use the Arctic as an arena for penalizing Russia further or use it to engage Russia in dialogue. Currently, officials dealing with Arctic affairs are asking themselves what exactly these consequences will be, deciding whether to take further action (like Canada) or issue warnings (like Iceland).

Economic Development

First, the immediate and direct impact of decisions taken outside of an Arctic context could hamper Russia’s strongest interest in the Arctic, namely economic development. Sanctions put in place by the European Union and the United States have the potential to affect the multitude of European and American companies engaged in developing the vast resource potential in the Yamal, Nenets and Kara Sea regions. Highlighting this, on April 28 sanctions were put in place by the US on Rosneft’s president, Igor Sechin [2].

This summer ExxonMobil alone is scheduled to conduct some of the most expensive exploratory drillings in the history of offshore oil and gas development in the Kara Sea through its joint venture with Rosneft [3]. BP is similarly dependent on Rosneft after TNK-BP was incorporated into the Russian oil giant in 2013, leaving BP with 19.5 percent of Rosneft’s shares [4]. Should further sanctions be put in place limiting western companies dealings with Russian energy companies, from either the Russian or the EU/US side, Arctic economic development in Russia will take a hit.

Cancelling Cooperation

In terms of direct cooperation in the Arctic sphere, exclusion of Russia or the boycotting of various Arctic meetings by one or several of the Arctic states have the potential to derail the relatively well-established modes of collaboration that have developed in the Arctic. Canada’s decision not to attend the Arctic Council task force meeting in Moscow last week is a minor, but still significant symbol of how Arctic cooperation is affected by the international crisis further south [5].

Similarly, Russian officials were not invited to take part in a pre-meeting to the North Atlantic Coast Guard Forum in Sydney, Novia Scotia on March 31, where the establishment of an Arctic Coast Guard Forum was discussed. The planned Northern Chiefs of Defence (CHODs) meeting scheduled for June in Iceland seems likely to be postponed as well, as could be expected. The Northern CHODs forum is one of the few arenas, in addition to the Arctic Security Forces Roundtable, where all the Arctic states convene to discuss hard security matters. Consequently several of the informal and formal arenas where civilian and military issues in the Arctic are discussed are put on hold.

Various Interests
Yet, Russia’s participation in the high level Senior Arctic Officials (SAO) meeting under the Canadian chairmanship in Yellowknife on March 25-27 proceeded as planned. In the Arctic Coast Guard Forum meeting it was also pointed out that any coast guard forum for the Arctic without the Russians present would prove futile, given Russia’s predominant role in Arctic maritime matters. For the United States and the Scandinavian countries such an approach seems only logical, given adjacent maritime borders that involve shared fish stocks and natural resource deposits. This highlights the importance of maintaining a working relationship with Russia on specific issues for some of the Arctic states, albeit these interests vary amongst the Arctic countries.

For decades Norway’s collaboration with Russia on the joint management of fish stocks in the Barents Sea has been promoted as a model for dealing with Russia on a sensitive topic that entails both a civilian and a military dimension [6]. Similarly, the 2010 maritime delimitation agreement was highly motivated by a desire in both countries to develop potential petroleum resources in the former disputed maritime area. Related cooperation between Russia and Norway has expanded since [7].

Although Sweden and Finland do not share a maritime border with Russia, Finland in particular has an extensive land boundary and is dependent on a rational working relationship with its larger neighbor. Just in terms of border crossings, Finland issued 1.3 million visas to Russia in 2013, a third of all Schengen entry visas going to Russia, according to the BarentsObserver [8]. As argued by Finland’s Minister for European Affairs and Foreign Trade, Stubb, Finland is heavily dependent on Russia’s economic trajectory and the consequences of the Ukraine crisis might be severe for the Finnish economy [9].

In the Bering Sea the US and Russia have a long standing collaboration on research and management of fish stocks, in particular with regards to the Alaskan Pollock [10]. For the last 19 years Russia and the US have worked together in this maritime area, and as ship traffic is increasing, the need for collaboration is only set to increase [11]. Combatting illegal, unreported, and unregulated (IUU) fishing in the area has already been stated as one of the main goals in the US’ Arctic Implementation Plan from January 2014 [12]. Also, as most vessels frequenting the Bering Sea are fishing boats, the potential northern movement of fish stocks due to temperature increases as seen in the North Atlantic will force the vessels to move further north and demand even greater coordination and collaboration between Russian and US coast guards, similar to what has developed in the Barents Sea.

Russia’s Primacy in the Arctic

The different Arctic states all have their own «special» relationships with Russia, with varying degrees of interdependency and collaboration. Related, it is less counterproductive to Canada’s Arctic interests to take a strong stance towards Russia than it is for some of the Scandinavian countries. The seven Arctic states excluding Russia also do not form any cohesive block against Russia, in part due to the fact that membership in international organizations vary between NATO and the EU (5 NATO members and 3 EU members – only Denmark overlaps).

Yet, coordinated efforts to exclude Russia from specific Arctic forums have been – and will probably continue to be – put in place. We should, however, not forget that Russia is the largest of all the Arctic actors, measured in everything from population to economic activity and resource potential. Efforts to deal with environmental pollution, search and rescue, and common standards in the Arctic have also been developed with a lowest common denominator approach, depending on all the Arctic states engaging and signing up to the agreements. Therefore, having Russia onboard on Arctic-related agreements is not only preferable, but also essential to ensure a responsible development in the Arctic.

Conclusion – An Arena for Penalties or Reconciliation?

In sum, Russia is dependent on a positive Arctic development, while the country is also integral to most of the development in the region. The other Arctic states undoubtedly have an obligation to act on proceedings in Ukraine, yet on a lower working level many of them are heavily dependent on continuing business as usual in various areas where Russia constitutes an essential partner. Therefore, the somewhat inconsistent responses with regards to various Arctic domains are likely set to continue.

In previous periods of high tension between Russia and the west, the Arctic has actually served as a theatre for continued cooperation. A good example of this is the 2008 Georgia crisis where collaboration in the Arctic was almost unscathed, arguably also serving as an arena for normalizing relationships as the crisis ended. What role will the Arctic have this time around? That depends on the extent to which Russia will continue to paint itself into a corner, and whether the other Arctic states choose to use the region as an arena for penalties or reconciliation.




[6] See for example Hønneland, Geir (2007), “International Cooperation and Arctic Governance: Regime Effectiveness and Arctic Governance”, London & New York: Routledge.



Arctic Dialogue 2014 - Interview with Joël Plouffe




By Malte Humpert During this year’s Arctic Dialogue conference, we conducted a series of short interviews with some of the speakers and participants of the conference as well as other Arctic voices. This project is a collaboration between the High North Center, the University of Nordland, and The Arctic Institute. The podcasts will be available on iTunes via The Arctic Institute, as well as on the Arctic Dialogue website. You can find a list of all podcasts here. 





Canada and the Arctic: An Ambiguous Relationship




Courtesy of Arctic-Antarctic Collection
By Andreas Østhagen Canada undoubtedly holds a prominent place in the Arctic. Currently in the Arctic, only Russia has more Arctic territory, making Canada an “Arctic superpower” in terms of geography and location. As foreign minister Baird announced on December 9, its recent claim for an extension of its continental shelf claim stretched as far as the North Pole.

Canadian nation-building has at times also been concentrated around its “true north” [1]. Yet, 75 percent of the Canadian population is based within 100 miles from the United States border, more than 1.000 miles beneath the Arctic Circle [2]. Its Arctic population, residing in the three territories Yukon, Northwest Territories and Nunavut, only numbers approximately 100.000 inhabitants, which is less than 0.3 percent of Canada’s total population.

Arctic policies are, for all Arctic states, a mix of domestic and foreign policy. Similarly, in its policy for the Arctic, the Canadian federal government in Ottawa needs to balance the interests of the residents actually residing in its Arctic territories and the foreign policy interests of Canada at large. These different set of interests do not always converge, as this article will attempt to highlight. As a consequence, Canada’s actual Arctic policy can be termed somewhat “bi-polar”, juggling different sets of domestic interest while attempting to formulate a coherent foreign policy approach towards its Arctic neighbors. This juggling is a common trait amongst all the Arctic states, yet the Canadian case is especially pronounced in nature.

Comparing the Arctic Five
All Arctic coastal states are interesting case studies for center-periphery conflicts and the complicate intricacies of formulating foreign policy in tandem with rapid domestic regional development. Alaska holds a special role in the United States, far removed from the lower 48 in both geography and mentality, while forming a cohesive entity pushing for increased federal engagement in everything from resource development to the formulation of a coherent US Arctic policy [3]. In Greenland, consecutive self-governments have put economic independence from Denmark on top of the political agenda, with the idea of full-fledged independence looming in the background, as increased autonomy was granted in 2009 [4].

Courtesy of NSF
On the other side of the Pole, Norway’s Arctic counties (Nordland, Troms and Finnmark) hold 10 percent of Norway’s total population and are, as a consequence, relatively well integrated into the national economy as a whole. There is no marked difference between the Norwegian Arctic and the rest of Norway. Svalbard, being governed by the 1920 Treaty, is a special case with a population of only 2.195 [5]. Russia is in a strong position, with half of the total Arctic territory and a majority of the Arctic population. Just Murmansk oblast has a population of approximately 787.000, which is almost eight times the Canadian Arctic or almost the double of the Norwegian Arctic [6]. At large, the Arctic has a prominent role in Russian contemporary strategic thinking, while also constituting the backbone of its natural resource extraction [7].

Canada: Domestic Policy
Returning to Canada, its three Arctic territories are in a unique situation in terms of regional autonomy. Whereas the ten provinces south of the Arctic Circle have a high degree of autonomy ever since the Dominion was formed in 1867 because of their recognized constitutional powers in section 92 of the Constitution Act (formerly the British North American Act), the three northern territories have not enjoyed the same privileges and operate “at the pleasure of the Crown”.  The regional governments of Northwest Territories, Yukon and Nunavut have a substantially lower degree of autonomy than their southern neighbors, but also compared to that of their American and Greenlandic counterparts.

Nunavut in particular did not become a territory of its own until 1999, decades after claiming its Inuit heritage as separate from the Northwest Territories [8]. Although the federal government in Ottawa is slowly devolving decision-making competence and authority to the territories, the starting point is relatively low, as most decisions are still made by the federal Department for Aboriginal Affairs and Northern Development (AANDC) [9]. It is also the only one of the three territories to not have devolved powers over natural resources.

Frontier Lands
Courtesy of Government of Canada
Turning towards infrastructure and local capacity, the situation is very different in the Canadian Arctic than in the provinces. Every year since 2005 Stephen Harper has travelled to the northern territories and has thus displayed continued Arctic commitment by Ottawa, with promises of investment. As argued by Whitney Lackenbauer, focus in recent years has been on enabling natural resource development in the region, while serious deficiencies in social conditions and at the community level are being neglected.

In terms of infrastructure, there are also no deep water ports in any of the three territories, while the closest search and rescue centers are in Halifax, Nova Scotia, and Trenton, Ontario, well beneath the Arctic Circle [10]. An offshore presence from the Canadian Coast Guard (CCG), in terms of icebreaking capability, is only active in the summer months during the sealift season, when the small communities in Nunavut are being re-supplied. Should a serious incident, in terms of an oil spill or a grounding of a cruise ship, the lack of capacity combined with limited infrastructure might prove catastrophic.

Canada: Foreign Policy
Moving to the foreign policy dimension of Canada’s Arctic engagement, sovereignty has continuously been on the agenda. The current Conservative Prime Minister, Stephen Harper, has placed security issues high on the agenda with quotes like “use it or lose it” and promises of investment in a deep-water docking facility, Arctic capable patrol ships and a new Arctic training centre [11]. The recent claim to the North Pole has similarly been mentioned as a potential source of conflict [12].

Prime Minister Harper in the Arctic
Courtesy of Pmwebphotos
The actual threats to Canadian sovereignty, however, are few and far between. Canada’s territorial disputes in the Beaufort Sea with the United States, and over Hans Island with Denmark/Greenland, are minor, with limited potential of ever becoming more than diplomatic disagreements. The disagreement with the US over the status of the Northwest Passage, as internal waters or an international transit, is also an issue where the two have agreed to disagree, which does not prompt increased military presence in the area. Its recent submission to the UN Commission determining the limits of the continental shelf, is another area where all the Arctic littoral states have agreed to abide to the UNCLOS framework, reiterated continuously since the Ilulissat Deceleration in 2008.

Still, protecting Canadian sovereignty in the north seems a particular foreign policy goal. The results, however, are pending also in this area. Promises of military investments have not been followed through, as exemplified with the Arctic patrol ships. The first ship was initially set to be delivered in 2014, while recent budget leaks now show that construction is set to first begin in 2015 [12]. As a result, the foreign policy rhetoric does not match domestic action. It is consequently not Canadian sovereignty that is under threat in the Arctic, but rather its domestic ability to provide basic public capacities.

Conclusion – Merging Domestic and Foreign Policies
Canada’s Arctic development seems somewhat twofold. On the one hand, Canada actively participates on the international stage in Arctic matters, emphasizing its sovereignty, rights and seabed claims, in addition to its Arctic Council slogan “Development for the people in the North”. On the other hand, domestic development and actual investments are lagging behind its Arctic neighbors, with serious gaps in infrastructure and local/regional capacity. The Canadian Arctic territories are also granted less autonomy and self-governance than the rest of the country’s sub-national units, with a slow process of devolution, in particular with regards to Nunavut.

When Comparing Canada to the other Arctic coastal states, the gap between rhetoric and factual development becomes apparent. Amongst the Nordic countries, the Arctic regions are relatively well enmeshed in nation building at large, while Russia has placed a considerable emphasis on its Arctic region, both rhetorically and in terms of investments. The Greenlandic self-government is in the driving seat of its own development, while Alaska has a particular strong Arctic voice, encouraging Washington to look northwards. Yet, the federal government in Ottawa understands that it needs to engage its Arctic territories, as can be seen by the inclusion of regional representatives in its delegation to the Arctic Council. Inclusion and dialogue, however, is one thing. Actual investments and capacity building is something else, no matter who owns the North Pole.

[1] Under the administrative responsibility of the Minister of Aboriginal Affairs and Northern Development
[5] Only the Norwegian population on Svalbard. source: http://www.ssb.no/befsvalbard





Arctic Oil and Gas: The Role of Regions




This article is based on a larger research report by the author, published by the Norwegian Institute for Defence Studies (IFS) which is available here. 

courtesy of Nordregio
By Andreas Østhagen The starting point for regional governments is a desire for economic development and prosperity. Whether the end-goal is economic independence or sustaining higher levels of income, this has led some Arctic regions pursuing natural resource development at a rapid  pace. How the regions promote such interests in their interaction with federal/national governments that are not always as pro-development, arguably determines  much of the actual pace of offshore oil and gas development in the Arctic.

Three cases of Arctic offshore developments in North America – the Chukchi Sea off the coast of Alaska; the Beaufort Sea off the Northwest Territories in Canada; and the waters  around Greenland of the Realm of Denmark – highlight the relationship between regional interests and their respective systemic constraints and can help us understand the role of regions,  an important dimension of Arctic oil and gas development.

Regions in the North American Arctic
Looking beyond overarching international trends related to price levels, technology and ice-melting, this study analyses what influences specific development of offshore oil and gas in the Arctic. A key dimension in focus was the interests of those actually  living in the areas in question, represented through their respective regional governments, as this factor is often neglected or understated in current Arctic research literature. Consequently, the following question must be asked: what role do regional interests have in theprocess of developing oil and gas in the North American Arctic?

With no current offshore production activity, yet with high expectations of a rapid pace of development in exploratory drillings in the near future, the North American Arctic was chosen as the focus area. The three cases studied here share relatively similar climactic conditions. However, they have seen different paces of petroleum development against the backdrop of rising Arctic oil and gas on the international agenda and increasing commercial interests in the North American Arctic. By looking at the processes surrounding the influx of new commercial interests and factors determining the development pace in each case, some important conclusions can be made.

Defining an Interest
First, the regions themselves need to have a clearly defined interest that is promoted and acted upon as development proceeds. The regions’ preferences are naturally a product of their own dependence on oil and gas revenues to support local and regional economies. Perceived future gains from such activities inevitably also come into consideration. Internal cohesion, however, is often lacking, and although all the regions in question favour oil and gas activities, their commitment and/or ability to promote such activities  vary in degree.

Interest in all three regions is undoubtedly influenced by the level of hydrocarbon resources in offshore basins, as outlined by the United States Geological Survey (USGS) and other geological surveys. Together with international price trends, accessibility, transport infrastructure and the cost of Arctic operations, this forms the basis of the commercial viability in each case. Commercial viability in turn determines the extent to which commercial actors, such as Shell, Statoil or Cairn, push for exploratory offshore drilling.

Yet this study has proven that case-specific development is also influenced by the interests of the regional actors engaged in the matter. The way regional governments define their interests in petroleum development constitutes the basis of regions’ participation in the development process.

Exhibiting strong regional interests, the State of Alaska continues to push for development in the Chukchi Sea, although the final decision is made federally by the Department of Interior in Washington, D.C. The State consequently acts as a facilitator, with local interest groups and environmental organisations attempting to halt development at every crossroad.

The Canadian Beaufort Sea is similar to the U.S. in terms of the locus of decision-making for outer continental shelf development. Regional interests, however, are not as strongly defined as in Alaska, and consequently the Territories are not as active in policy-making processes. Greenland, as the most autonomous of the three regions in question, has acquired self-governance over its offshore petroleum resources.

Similar to Alaska, the Greenlandic government has actively pushed for development: first by encouraging commercial interests in the region, then through the rapid pace of lease sales from 2006 onwards. While development of the Chukchi Sea has encountered domestic resistance in the U.S., Greenlandic offshore development has met with international resistance, notably from the EU and Greenpeace.

Regional vs. Federal
Second, the impact of regional interests is a function of how strongly these interests are enforced in the process of opening up areas for oil and gas activity. This relates to the unique and systemic context in which the regional governments operate – a context that in turn determines how regional interests are allowed to influence the decision-making process. First, the devolved decision-making competences and autonomy vary considerably throughout the regions in question. Second, in all three cases, regional interests are balanced against federal/national approval of Arctic drilling. The interests of the federal level come into play at this point, which often are linked with the formulation of national energy policies.

In the U.S. and Canada, the federal governments have the authority over the Outer Continental Shelf, and consequently the regional governments in Alaska and the Northwest Territories can only act as facilitators and promoters of their individual interests when a federal decision is underway. In these two cases, the locus of decision-making power lies outside of the Arctic Circle and a decision is the result of the respective federal governments striking a balance between different policy interests. In Greenland, however, the line of sight between regional interests and policy outcomes is substantially clearer, as decision-making competences are devolved to regional self-government. However, Greenland’s enduring relationship with Denmark and the EU is a systemic factor that still should be taken into consideration.

It is interesting to note that the Arctic often causes strong popular sentiment amongst people who do not reside in the region itself. Due to the usage of the Arctic as a symbol of pristine nature and the devastating effects of climate change, there is undoubtedly a strong desire present in capitals like Ottawa, Washington D.C. and Copenhagen to leave the Arctic untouched by industrial activity (Emmerson 2010; Williams 2011). Local inhabitants of the Arctic, however, do not always share such sentiments. Non-Arctic interference in matters of development for Arctic inhabitants has long been a source of conflict (Williams 2011). The Arctic is also jointly populated by different groups of indigenous peoples, with the possibility for tension to arise between non-indigenous regional populations and indigenous local populations over how to deal with the increased influx of commercial interests to the region.

Conclusion
Altogether, these comparisons show that international trends and commercial viability, while important, are not the only factors to consider when tracking and explaining development processes in the Arctic. Offshore activity takes place in the context of regions, both geographically and politically, and all three cases involve regional governments that interact with centrally located decision-makers,  besides commercial, environmental and social actors. Consequently, it seems that the relationship between the regional level, where specific Arctic offshore development is taking place, and the national level, often located far away from the Arctic, constitutes an important, and arguably also frequently neglected, determinant of the development of Arctic oil and gas.

This observation might hold relevance for other areas of the Arctic given the controversy surrounding offshore development in North Norway or in Northwest Russia. However, the Arctic is not the only part of the world facing this influx of commercial interests. Deepwater drilling has boomed in the last decade, and controversial offshore fields west of the Shetland Islands in the UK, off the coast of Brazil, and in ‘iceberg alley’ off Newfoundland in Canada, are currently being explored for recoverable resources. As soaring price levels, new technologies and increased market demands push companies towards new and challenging areas like the Arctic;the role of the regions  where these activities take place will only become increasingly important.













Reflections on Canada's Vision for the Arctic Council




By Matthew Willis Canada has now replaced Sweden as chair of the Arctic Council. While only time will tell what sort of leadership it will provide, or how it will shape the Council’s activities, the programme for chairmanship it outlined in January has received mixed reviews. Several Arctic governments have openly backed it [1], but others have been more reticent. Media coverage, though generally balanced, has sometimes implied Canada is out of step with the times.[2] Most strikingly, Iceland’s president, Ólafur Ragnar Grímsson, chose the 15th of April – exactly one month before this week’s summit in Kiruna, Sweden – to announce the establishment of a new forum, the Arctic Circle, whose vision appears diametrically opposed to the Canadian one.

This article summarises the Canadian chairmanship programme and reflects on the vision behind it. Without claiming to offer an exhaustive analysis, it argues that Canada’s programme represents something quite novel: not a traditional Canadian vision of the Arctic, but rather an Arctic indigenous Canadian one – something that has seldom, if ever, borne the imprimatur of the federal government. To understand why this is special, one must realise that despite its nickname, the Great White North, Canada is a country whose political centre of gravity is wholly southern. The country’s tiny Arctic population has long been kept on the sidelines of the Canadian political arena, and what has usually passed for a ‘Canadian’ take on the Arctic has in reality been very much southern Canadian.

While acknowledging that, carried to the extreme, Canada’s vision could exclude and alienate, this article contends that the Canadian programme is on the whole an even-keeled proposal. Combining steadfast backing for the inhabitants of the Arctic and a cautiously open attitude towards extra-regional actors, it could be just what is required to ensure the Arctic’s development occurs in a balanced fashion.

The speech in Tromsø
The basic outline of Canada’s chairmanship programme is by now well known. First made public by Canada’s minister of health, Leona Aglukkaq [3], at January’s Arctic Frontiers conference in Tromsø, Norway, the programme’s overarching theme is development for the ‘People of the North’. That theme breaks down into three sub-themes: responsible resource development, safe shipping, and sustainable circumpolar communities.

In fleshing out what each sub-theme meant (and perhaps conscious of the scrutiny Canada was under) Aglukkaq explained that Canada’s chairmanship would in many respects be an extension of Sweden’s. As part of encouraging inward investment into the region, Canada would carry on with its predecessor’s efforts to strengthen ties between the private sector and the Council. As part of regulating maritime traffic, Canada would continue to support ongoing efforts within the Council to develop an oil-spill prevention protocol.

Aglukkaq also made clear that Canada’s turn at the helm would mark a departure. ‘In its first sixteen years, the Council has done very important scientific work,’ she stated, ‘and shaped global policy on key issues like mercury. Canada will continue this work. But now, we must make sure that we are applying the findings of that research in a practical way that will help improve the well-being and prosperity of the people living in the Arctic.’[4] Expanding on that statement in a recent interview, Aglukkaq said, ‘[W]e talk of…Canada’s North developing, the Arctic region of every country’s developing. But it’s the private sector that’s actually going to develop those regions – not scientists.’[5]

What is most striking about the Canadian programme is the apparent tightness of its focus. As Aglukkaq stated in Tromsø, its authors drew heavily on consultations with ‘Northerners’ about ‘the North’ with the aim of helping ‘the North realize its true potential as a healthy, prosperous and secure region.’[6] Only rarely in her speech did non-Arctic actors enter the picture. Commercial interests were alluded to in vague terms such as ‘business’, ‘tourism’ and ‘the many ships’, usually as things to be regulated. In one instance outside interests’ hunger for entry was acknowledged, but only in northern-centric terms: ‘Canada is determined to see Northern communities benefit from the economic boom that is unfolding.’[7] Extra-regional countries, meanwhile, figured not at all – except once, elliptically, as ‘industrial centres far from northern communities’ that propagate ‘short-lived climate forcers, like black carbon.’[8]

Together, the treatment of the Arctic as a place for those living in it and the assertion that Canada’s chairmanship would promote development ‘for the people of the North’ create a sort of closed circuit. ‘Outside’ actors are allowed in, but only to support and serve Northern interests. It follows that the Canadian vision lacks any suggestion that non-Arctic states are entitled to benefit from the Arctic, or that the presence of extra-regional actors – by increasing the intellectual richness of the discussion surrounding ways of developing the region – could bring collective benefits.

Indeed, the idea that anything much remains to be discussed, or that non-Northerners have a natural role to play in any discussion that might break out, is nowhere to be found. Concluding her Tromsø speech, Aglukkaq enjoined her audience to work together, combining the ‘knowledge of the people who have lived in the North for generations’ with that derived from science. But it was clear that her intended interlocutors numbered just fourteen: ‘the eight Arctic Council countries and the six Permanent Participants.’[9]

Against the grain
To call the Canadian vision unfashionable (except in the north) would therefore be an understatement. Whereas the emerging mainstream view treats the Arctic as a space undergoing inexorable globalisation, the Canadian programme treats the Arctic as a bounded region. Whereas the mainstream view holds that a globalising region should be managed in a similarly global way, the Canadian vision is that the Arctic’s inhabitants have particular interests, distinct from non-Northerners’, that take priority. The notion of boundaries and separateness is strengthened by the very use of the term ‘North’, a word that cannot easily be applied to the Arctic by anyone whose country does not include territory there. Not unlike Norway’s preferred term, the High North, the North has a proprietary quality to it which, if not exclusive, is not entirely inclusive either.

Though the purpose of this article is not to contrast the Canadian vision of the Arctic with that embodied by the recently-established Arctic Circle, a brief comparison provides perspective. The Circle’s website portrays the Arctic as a space into which everyone is welcomed, and out of which everyone gets something. The Circle, it says, aims to bring together ‘as many Arctic and international partners as possible under one large, open tent and [in so doing] identify truly sustainable practices for the Arctic….’[10]

The dissonance between the assumptions at the core of the Arctic Circle and those animating the Canadian vision is glaring. According to the founders of the first, the Arctic’s integration into a globalised world is inevitable and should be embraced; the balance between man and nature will be better struck the more parties have a say in a strengthened ‘decision-making process’; the perspective of the Arctic peoples, while important, should be weighed against the perspectives of a wide range of other legitimate ‘stakeholders’. The positivity and energy the Circle radiates suggest a belief in an almost Kantian logic of progress – progress against vested regional interests and narrow-minded national thinking. They seem to capture the global zeitgeist perfectly. The Canadian vision, by comparison, risks sounding old-school and ‘twentieth-century’.

An Arctic indigenous Canadian vision
That is partly the doing of the Canadian government, which has in recent years done a singularly good job of tarnishing Canada’s Arctic credentials. From its chest-thumping over ‘Arctic sovereignty’ to its regressive climate change policies and its vigorous promotion of the Alberta oil sands, Ottawa has cast itself as the Arctic capital least likely to strike the balance required between environmental custodianship and economic development, between individualism and collectivism. Anything commentators believe to be a product of Conservative Ottawa is suspect by association.

Except that the Canadian chairmanship programme is not really a Conservative product. It bears Ottawa’s stamp, so it cannot be incompatible with the government’s thinking; but to depict it as an attempt to imbue the Council with a Conservative ethos is going too far. In fact, the Canadian programme represents neither a vision shaped in Ottawa nor one developed with input from people from around the Arctic: it is a fundamentally Arctic indigenous Canadian vision that would not have emerged from a southern Canadian mind. The distinction between ‘Canadian’ and ‘Arctic [indigenous] Canadian’ may not be apparent to people outside Canada, but it is very real. One has only to consider the country’s population distribution – overwhelmingly concentrated along the US-Canada border – to realise just how far removed the Arctic is from average Canadians’ reality.

This distinction matters because the people of the Canadian Arctic have always been, and remain, among the country’s most marginalised. Whether in matters of education, health, housing, life expectancy or overall prosperity, the Inuit – who account for the vast majority of the Canadian Arctic’s inhabitants [11] – fare far worse than the Canadian average. Unsurprisingly, their priority is basic and tangible: achieving something approaching parity with their southern countrymen.

The establishment of Canada’s newest territory, Nunavut, in 1999, was a major step in that direction. Nunavut’s governance model gives the Inuit a real say over the kind of development undertaken and the amount of involvement they have in it, but the territory remains vastly underdeveloped. And that is not just underdeveloped by ‘first-world’ standards, but any standards. Redressing this ‘development deficit’ cannot be achieved simply by throwing the Arctic open to business, of course, and much of the challenge relates to Canadian domestic policy and relations between the federal and territorial governments. Nonetheless, not to seize the opportunity which the Council chairmanship presented to harness the economic forces acting on the region would have defied logic.


Aglukkaq herself has made clear in her public statements, as well as by her tours of Northern Canada and the rest of the circumpolar region, that she is coming at the file from the perspective of an Inuk who still calls the Arctic home. As she recently put it in an interview with the Globe and Mail, “‘I’ll bring a different perspective to the table, a perspective that in my view has not been’ heard in the 16 years since the Council was formed.”[12] Knowing the short leash on which Prime Minister Stephen Harper keeps his ministers, cynics may suggest Aglukkaq is a mere mouthpiece, chosen more to bolster the government’s credibility at home and abroad than for any substantive reason. Her subordinate position to Foreign Minister John Baird, who has ultimate responsibility for the Arctic Council file, gives the idea a whiff of plausibility. According to a Government of Canada source responsible for the Arctic file, however, that is not the case. Baird has de facto handed over the reins, and Harper has expressed his complete faith in Aglukkaq’s instincts.[13] Aglukkaq is, if not the sole author, at least a lead architect of Canada’s chairmanship programme.

Striking a balance
It would therefore be more accurate to call the Canadian agenda cautious rather than parochial. As Aglukkaq’s speech in Tromsø and subsequent public statements make plain, Canada has no desire to see ‘outsiders’ excluded from the region. Commercial and industrial development is welcome. It must simply be controlled sufficiently to ensure the benefits others derive from it do not come at the expense of the Arctic’s inhabitants. Put differently, it expresses the determination that Northerners not be excluded from their own backyards (again). In that vein, recent research by James Manicom and Whitney Lackenbauer illustrates the potential risks of courting investment from Asia. They found that governments in countries like China and Japan are ‘not familiar with the phenomenon of indigenous internationalism and may not even comprehend the legal relationship between some indigenous groups and their government, such as land-claim and self-government agreements.’[14]

Responses from the international commentariat that suggest the Canadian position is somehow backward must be scrutinised. The subtext is that an ‘outward-facing’ Council – reflecting the Swedish philosophy or the Arctic Circle’s – would be more progressive.[15] But value judgments are always problematic. Why are more decision-makers better than fewer? What guarantees that decisions generated by larger groups are sager than those by smaller groups? More importantly, who, in the end, benefits most from decisions taken in large committees? It cannot escape any thoughtful reader’s attention that the larger the decision-making pool, the smaller a fraction of it Northerners would represent. Surely, a tyranny of the majority would be no better than a tyranny of the minority: both are tyranniesAAsA.

To those who fear that Conservative Ottawa’s influence could push environmental custodianship to the bottom of the Arctic Council’s agenda, Northerners’ prominence in shaping the programme, not to mention their presence on the Council, suggests otherwise. Though they do want economic development, the Inuit have every interest in not sacrificing the land – to which they are historically, culturally and economically tied – to get it. Nothing would be more self-defeating.[16]

Where the Canadian vision’s critics have a point, however, is in their concern that it could, taken too far, imply a kind of rear-guard action against emerging economic and political realities. Whatever the merits of Aglukkaq’s Tromsø address, the decision not to use it to acknowledge the interests of non-Arctic actors was a mis-step. It is to be hoped that the omission was for rhetorical purposes, intended to sharpen the government’s message and convey a sense of purpose. In this it succeeded. If the omission stemmed from a genuine belief that external actors belong in an ‘object-subject’ relationship vis-à-vis Northerners, however, like tools to be used for northern gain, Ottawa will run into difficulties. Cultural imperialism, on embarrassing display when it came to the EU’s seal ban, is the kind of thing Northerners are entirely justified in dismissing. But the same smugness in reverse is equally obnoxious.

On the face of it, then, there is good reason to be hopeful about the direction Canada intends to take the Arctic Council. In presenting Northerners’ desire for a balance between environmental custodianship and economic development (ie. sustainable development and communities), it is both pragmatic and in touch with (what seems to be) world public opinion. In adopting a cautious approach towards the globalisation of the Arctic, however, it is also true to the original purpose of the Council, which was to help further the interests of the people of the North. As ever, though, the proof of the pudding is in the eating. The goodly number of observer-status applications the Council approved yesterday, and its measured handling of the European Union, suggest it plans to match words and actions. Let us hope, therefore, that the Kiruna summit is a sign of things to come.




[1] See the feature on the Canadian International Council’s website belonging to ‘Cold Calculations: the politics of Arctic development,’ 20 February 2013 <http://opencanada.org/features/the-think-tank/video/should-canada-push-arctic-resource-development/>. In separate conversations, the Danish, Norwegian and Finnish ambassadors to Great Britain also confirmed to the author that their countries supported Canada’s proposal.
[2] See, for example, Mia Bennett, ‘Pro-development Arctic Council, led by Canada, begins to take shape,’ Alaska Dispatch, 14 March 2013 <http://www.alaskadispatch.com/article/20130314/pro-development-arctic-council-led-canada-begins-take-shape>; also, Randy Boswell, ‘Aglukkaq of the Arctic: Can federal minister set a vision for international council?’ Montreal Gazette, 12 May 2013 <http://www.montrealgazette.com/technology/environment/Aglukkaq+Arctic+federal+minister+vision/8373742/story.html>.
[3] Aglukkaq was made chair of the Arctic Council by the prime minister in August 2012 and holds the portfolios concurrently.
[4] Address by Minister Aglukkaq at Arctic Frontiers Conference, ‘Canada’s second chairmanship of the Arctic Council,’ Tromsø, Norway, 21 January 2013 <http://www.arcticfrontiers.com/index.php?option=com_docman&task=doc_download&gid=707&Itemid=306&lang=en>.
[5] Randy Boswell, op. cit.
[6] Government of Canada, ‘Minister Aglukkaq to Visit Arctic Council States,’ 14 January 2013 <http://www.international.gc.ca/media/arctic-arctique/news-communiques/2013/01/14a.aspx>.
[7] Address by Minister Aglukkaq, op. cit.
[8] Ibid.
[9] Ibid.
[10] Arctic Circle website <http://www.arcticcircle.org/#mission>.
[11] In Nunavut, the federal territory accounting for the vast majority of Canada’s Arctic geography, the aboriginal population is fully 83 percent of the total according to Statistics Canada’s 2011 data.
[12] Paul Koring, ‘Aglukkaq promises “different perspective” as chair of northern body,’ Globe and Mail, 10 May 2013 <http://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/politics/aglukkaq-promises-different-perspective-as-chair-of-northern-body/article11875684/>.
[13] Interview with a Government of Canada official, 29 April 2013.
[14] James Manicom and Whitney Lackenbauer, ‘East Asian states, the Arctic Council and international relations in the Arctic,’ Policy Brief no. 26 (April 2013) <http://www.cigionline.org/sites/default/files/no26.pdf>.
[15] It goes without saying that the Arctic Circle’s mission statement is no less an exercise in political messaging than Canada’s chairmanship programme. For instance, to the extent that Iceland, through its president, shaped the new organisation, the Circle can be considered a reasonable reflection of Icelandic geopolitical interests. For an excellent discussion of the subject, see Klaus Dodds and Valur Ingimundarson, ‘Territorial nationalism and Arctic geopolitics: Iceland as an Arctic coastal state,’ The Polar Journal 2:1 (2012): 21-37.
[16] In this connection, readers may wish to examine two documents of which Aglukkaq and her team will be well aware: The Inuit Circumpolar Council’s Inuit Arctic Policy, released in 2010, available at <http://inuit.org/fileadmin/user_upload/File/declarations/g100765_Inuit_Arctic_Policy-June02.pdf>; and its Circumpolar Declaration on Sovereignty in the Arctic, released in 2009, available at <https://www.itk.ca/publication/circumpolar-declaration-sovereignty-arctic>.